The Friday noon forcast for Saturday looks like a break in the rain until sunday morning. St Helena anyone?
Fred
Fred
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Fred Clement |
St Helena Saturday looking better. |
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(05/01/09 11:47:42) |
The Friday noon forcast for Saturday looks like a break in the rain until sunday morning. St Helena anyone?
Fred
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Ernie Camacho |
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(05/01/09 13:05:27) Safety Director |
Well, the latest forecast still looks iffy. They talk about rain tapering off after midnight tonight. But, no word on when it'll pick back up. The prev.
forecasts were talking about showers all the way into/through Monday.
FXUS66 KMTR 011753 AFDMTR AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA CA 1053 AM PDT FRI MAY 1 2009 .DISCUSSION...AS OF 9:05 AM PDT FRIDAY...SKIES ARE CLOUDY ACROSS THE DISTRICT WITH A FEW AREAS OF LIGHT RAIN. THE ONLY LOCATION WITH MEASURABLE RAIN IS NAPA COUNTY AIRPORT WITH ONLY 0.01 INCHES. RADAR CONTINUES TO SHOW PLENTY OF ECHOES OFF THE COAST...MOVING NORTHEAST. EXPERIMENTAL LONG-RANGE LIGHTNING IS SHOWING NO STRIKES. SATL IMAGERY IS SHOWING PLENTY OF DEEP MOISTURE BEING PULLED UP FROM THE SUBTROPICS. AMSU IMAGERY IS INDC TPW VALUES OF GREATER THAN ONE INCH AND THE 12Z OAKLAND RAOB WAS INDC TPW OF 1.00 INCHES. THIS IS UP TO 175 PERCENT ABOVE THE NORM. THE TROF OFF THE COAST IS BECOMING NEGATIVELY TILTED AS A STRONG 200+ KT JET UNDERCUTS THE TROF. RAIN WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE THIS MORNING/ EARLY AFTN AND SPREAD QUICKLY SOUTH. THE AFTN RUSH HOUR WILL BE WET. WITH 925 MB WINDS ABOVE 35 KT WINDS COULD GET GUSTY IN THE HILLS. RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS...TAPERING OFF TO SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. THUNDER IS NOT EXPECTED AS THE CONVECTIVE PARAMETERS ARE NOT IMPRESSIVE. CURRENT FCST LOOKS GOOD. NO UPDATES NEEDED. |
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Ernie Camacho |
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(05/01/09 13:08:23) Safety Director |
OK, looking at this forecast, it looks like the intensity is less than prev. forecast, but it'll last all the way to Tuesday. Note that Saturday is
"showers", while Sunday is now "Rain".
This Afternoon: Rain. High near 59. East wind around 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Tonight: Rain before 6pm, then showers. Low around 48. South wind between 8 and 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Saturday: Showers likely. Cloudy, with a high near 64. South wind between 3 and 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Saturday Night: Showers. Low around 47. Light south southwest wind. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Sunday: Rain. High near 69. South southwest wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Sunday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48. Monday: A 50 percent chance of rain. Cloudy, with a high near 66. Monday Night: A chance of rain. Cloudy, with a low around 47. Tuesday: A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 72. |
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